Low Income Housing Tax Credit Market Feasibility
Our Low Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) studies provide a clear
understanding of how the market will respond to your apartment community.
All of
our studies specified for submission to a state housing finance agency for
funding will comply with that state's guidelines. State guidelines may
require us to modify or even omit some of the analysis components below.
Conclusions/Recommendations
Specifically, our studies will provide the following
conclusions/recommendations:
- Optimum unit mix, number and size recommendations
- A unit and project amenities package competitive with area
developments
- Projected absorption
- At initial lease-up
- Overall average rate
- As impacted by turnover if absorption is extended beyond standard lease terms
- Determination of appropriate rents for the proposed units based on Tax
Credit program guidelines
- Marketing strategies for the proposed project may be discussed if
appropriate
- An evaluation of the site's ability to function with a Tax Credit
residential use based on its access, visibility and environment.
- When appropriate, a discussion of the subject site's site plan and floor
plan from a market perspective, identifying areas where design may hinder
market response
- Competitive Analysis. When appropriate, potentially competitive projects are
compared with the proposed project and analyzed in detail, including a
detailed look at floor plans, entry impact, storage space, unit and project
amenities, and pricing.
- ***When required by the state, we will identify the impact of the subject
property on existing area LIHTC or subsidized housing***
Supply/Demand Analyses
Our conclusions and recommendations are based on an analysis of the relationship
between existing and projected supply and demand based on our 100%
field survey of the Effective Market Area (EMA) and an analysis of area
demographics.
Supply Analysis
Supply is determined through:
- A 100% field survey of Effective Market Area modern apartments
- Data from the US Census Bureau
The supply of apartments is analyzed to identify rent and vacancy trends of
units by unit type, number of bedrooms, year built, and comparability index
Demand Analysis
- An analysis of the number of income-qualified households in the EMA (based
on LIHTC program income restrictions) will
be conducted. This analysis will establish the number of households based on
a variety of rent-to-income relationships and compare this to the number of
units proposed.
- An overview of the area Section 8 program and an evaluation of potential
support from program participants
-
A comparison of proposed rent to expected market-driven rent at opening
based on a Comparable Rent Analysis. The Comparable Rent Analysis allows for
determination of market-driven rent for projects of any amenity level by
using a regression analysis to analyze project rent in conjunction with its
Comparability Index. (Some states ask that we omit this analysis.)
- An analysis of step-up/down support for the proposed project. Our research
indicates that the largest single component of support for any apartment
project is apartment tenants already residing within the EMA, and that most
apartment shoppers will "step up" their rent payments for housing
that they consider to be a value. Our analysis identifies this step-up
support by dollar range and median. In addition, Tax Credit developments
often represent a value for tenants paying higher rent for comparable units.
This step-down support is identified. (Some states ask that we omit
this analysis.)
- An analysis of potential turnover vulnerability for the proposed project.
Our research indicates that the largest single source of tenant
"drain" from any development is the apartment communities in the
EMA priced within step-up range of the subject community.
- An analysis of rent gaps. Rent gaps are the differences in rent between
unit types, such as one-bedroom and two-bedroom units. Rent gaps can be a
substantial factor in a project's initial rent-up. Our analysis identifies
the area's median rent gap, rent gap at the proposed project's Comparability
Index, and rent gap at the proposed project. Rent gap among product
alternatives (such as mix, location, and floor plan) at the subject site is
also evaluated.
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